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The Robeco Capital Growth Funds have not been registered under the United States Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended, nor or the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended. None of the shares may be offered or sold, directly or indirectly in the United States or to any U.S. Person (within the meaning of Regulation S promulgated under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”)). Furthermore, Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V. (Robeco) does not provide investment advisory services, or hold itself out as providing investment advisory services, in the United States or to any U.S. Person (within the meaning of Regulation S promulgated under the Securities Act).

This website is intended for use only by non-U.S. Persons outside of the United States (within the meaning of Regulation S promulgated under the Securities Act who are professional investors, or professional fiduciaries representing such non-U.S. Person investors. By clicking “I Agree” on our website disclaimer and accessing the information on this website, including any subdomain thereof, you are certifying and agreeing to the following: (i) you have read, understood and agree to this disclaimer, (ii) you have informed yourself of any applicable legal restrictions and represent that by accessing the information contained on this website, you are not in violation of, and will not be causing Robeco or any of its affiliated entities or issuers to violate, any applicable laws and, as a result, you are legally authorized to access such information on behalf of yourself and any underlying investment advisory client, (iii) you understand and acknowledge that certain information presented herein relates to securities that have not been registered under the Securities Act, and may be offered or sold only outside the United States and only to, or for the account or benefit of, non-U.S. Persons (within the meaning of Regulation S under the Securities Act), (iv) you are, or are a discretionary investment adviser representing, a non-U.S. Person (within the meaning of Regulation S under the Securities Act) located outside of the United States and (v) you are, or are a discretionary investment adviser representing, a professional non-retail investor. Access to this website has been limited so that it shall not constitute directed selling efforts (as defined in Regulation S under the Securities Act) in the United States and so that it shall not be deemed to constitute Robeco holding itself out generally to the public in the U.S. as an investment adviser. Nothing contained herein constitutes an offer to sell securities or solicitation of an offer to purchase any securities in any jurisdiction. We reserve the right to deny access to any visitor, including, but not limited to, those visitors with IP addresses residing in the United States.

This website has been carefully prepared by Robeco. The information contained in this publication is based upon sources of information believed to be reliable. Robeco is not answerable for the accuracy or completeness of the facts, opinions, expectations and results referred to therein. Whilst every care has been taken in the preparation of this website, we do not accept any responsibility for damage of any kind resulting from incorrect or incomplete information. This website is subject to change without notice. The value of the investments may fluctuate. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. If the currency in which the past performance is displayed differs from the currency of the country in which you reside, then you should be aware that due to exchange rate fluctuations the performance shown may increase or decrease if converted into your local currency. For investment professional use only. Not for use by the general public.

I Disagree

02-17-2025 · SI Debate

SI Debate: Staying on course toward net zero

Since December, there has been an exodus of North American banks and asset managers from net-zero alliances. In response, the Net Zero Asset Managers Initiative (NZAM) announced a temporary suspension, while undertaking a review to ensure that the initiative “remains fit for purpose in the new global context”. Investors are now asking themselves what else is coming and where things are going. Our view is that the financial industry is still committed to net zero, but with increased policy uncertainty in the short term.

    Authors

  • Carola van Lamoen - Head of Sustainable Investing

    Carola van Lamoen

    Head of Sustainable Investing

  • Lucian Peppelenbos - Climate & Biodiversity Strategist

    Lucian Peppelenbos

    Climate & Biodiversity Strategist

Summary

  1. US Congress letter caused Net Zero AM Initiative to suspend its work

  2. Investors can develop solutions but governments must pave the road

  3. Most learning curves result in disillusionment before enlightenment

The trigger

A key trigger for the developments in the past weeks was a letter sent to 60 US asset managers on 20 December. The letter was sent by the US House of Representatives Judiciary Committee, probing the recipients about their involvement with the Net Zero Asset Managers Initiative and the engagement collaboration Climate Action 100+.

Such involvement is regarded by the Committee as a potential violation of antitrust laws and fiduciary duty.1 In the Committee’s ongoing investigation, NZAM and Climate Action100+ are assessed as “climate cartel of left-wing environmental activists and major financial institutions” that “has colluded to force American companies to decarbonize and reach net zero”. 2

Similar political pressure is behind the withdrawal by the six largest banks on Wall Street from a net-zero initiative for banks as well as the recent decision by the Federal Reserve to discontinue its membership of the Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS), the global network of central banks focused on addressing climate change.

Changed landscape

At Robeco, we welcome the review announced by NZAM, as it will enable the group to sharpen its strategy toward 2030. Not only in the US, but also globally, the policy landscape is very different from what it was in 2020-21, when investors, corporates and governments massively committed to net zero. These commitments amount to 93% of global GDP and 88% of global emissions.3

By and large, governments have not delivered on their commitments. Despite remarkable progress in countries like the UK, government policies are putting the world on course to a temperature rise of 2.9 degrees. The recent Climate COPs have failed to deliver meaningful progress, leading jurisdictions like the EU are slowing down their green ambitions, and the sharp upsurge in trade protectionism is limiting the uptake of green technologies.4

It is remarkable that, for the same period, net-zero-committed investors can report good progress. Most investors, including Robeco, report impressive figures on portfolio decarbonization in the order of 40% or more.5 Clearly, this has not gone hand in hand with emission reduction in the real economy, nor with increased climate policy ambition.

Against this background, it is appropriate to pause for a while and reflect on the role of investors in society’s road to net zero.

Inflated expectations

We believe that net-zero initiatives got off to a bad start. The launch of the Glasgow Finance Alliance for Net Zero (GFANZ) at COP26 in the Scottish city in 2021 was celebrated as a watershed moment, with USD 130 trillion of private capital waiting to be deployed for the net-zero transition. These were inflated expectations of investors driving society’s progress to 1.5 degrees. The critical role of the government did not get a lot of attention.

Effective mitigation of climate change needs a mission-driven government rising up to the challenge.6 John F. Kennedy’s mission to put the first man on the moon created technologies that underpinned the competitive advantage of US corporates for decades. The internet and digitalization – and the success of the Magnificent Seven – are directly based on inventions banked by the US Department of Defense. More recently, China deployed state entrepreneurship to develop global dominance in renewable technologies and electric vehicles.

With the right incentives instituted by government, the market shows virtually unlimited ingenuity in creating innovations and scalable solutions. Transitioning to net zero is up to the market; investors and industry must craft, deploy and scale the solutions. But it is governments who pave the road. For example, the EU Green Agenda with regulations like SFDR and CSRD7 is a critical basis for the net zero plans of investors and corporates.

Learning curve

Looking ahead, we believe that net-zero initiatives will follow the same pattern as most learning curves: an initial peak of inflated expectations, followed by disillusionment, before progressing through a slope of enlightenment toward productivity.8

Our research and interactions with clients show that net-zero-committed investors – around 40% of the market9 – take a long-term perspective and remain committed. The science didn’t change, so they stay on course. What changes and evolves, are the tactics and the tools – this is the slope of enlightenment in the learning curve. For example, the initial focus on portfolio decarbonization has demonstrated clear limitations; it is now being amplified and reinforced by transition finance approaches based on forward-looking climate analytics.

We can only hope that the stage of disillusionment does not take too long. The renewable energy boom shows that net zero can work. More and more countries are decoupling economic growth from an increase in emissions,10 bringing the world economy close to the point where total absolute emissions will start to decline. Unfortunately, after the 2024 elections super-cycle, the global geopolitical landscape is marked by fragmentism and nationalism, which for climate change mitigation is an unfavorable scenario.

The imperative for climate action is only increasing. Global temperatures keep rising – 2024 surpassed the threshold of 1.5 degrees – and more and more people are suffering the physical impacts of climate change. Integrating these climate risks leads to better-informed investment decisions.

At Robeco we continue to be committed to carefully navigating the net-zero transition, managing both risks and opportunities, to the benefit of our clients and long-term value creation.

Footnotes

1 https://judiciary.house.gov/media/press-releases/judiciary-committee-probes-60-companies-over-esg-ties
2 Committee of the Judiciary, US House of Representatives (2024), Climate control: exposing the decarbonization collusion in ESG investing, page i.
3 https://zerotracker.net/
4 UNEP Emission Gap Report 2024
5 By year end 2023, assets managed by Robeco decarbonized 43.7% against the 2020 baseline.
6 Cf. The work by Mariana Mazzucato on the entrepreneurial state
7 Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation (SFDR) and Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD).
8 For example, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gartner_hype_cycle
9 Robeco Annual Global Climate Survey 2024. In a few months we will publish the 2025 edition.
10 See: https://ourworldindata.org/co2-gdp-decoupling

Robeco

Robeco aims to enable its clients to achieve their financial and sustainability goals by providing superior investment returns and solutions.

Important information
The Robeco Capital Growth Funds have not been registered under the United States Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended, nor or the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended. None of the shares may be offered or sold, directly or indirectly in the United States or to any U.S. Person (within the meaning of Regulation S promulgated under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”)). Furthermore, Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V. (Robeco) does not provide investment advisory services, or hold itself out as providing investment advisory services, in the United States or to any U.S. Person (within the meaning of Regulation S promulgated under the Securities Act).
This website is intended for use only by non-U.S. Persons outside of the United States (within the meaning of Regulation S promulgated under the Securities Act who are professional investors, or professional fiduciaries representing such non-U.S. Person investors. By clicking “I Agree” on our website disclaimer and accessing the information on this website, including any subdomain thereof, you are certifying and agreeing to the following: (i) you have read, understood and agree to this disclaimer, (ii) you have informed yourself of any applicable legal restrictions and represent that by accessing the information contained on this website, you are not in violation of, and will not be causing Robeco or any of its affiliated entities or issuers to violate, any applicable laws and, as a result, you are legally authorized to access such information on behalf of yourself and any underlying investment advisory client, (iii) you understand and acknowledge that certain information presented herein relates to securities that have not been registered under the Securities Act, and may be offered or sold only outside the United States and only to, or for the account or benefit of, non-U.S. Persons (within the meaning of Regulation S under the Securities Act), (iv) you are, or are a discretionary investment adviser representing, a non-U.S. Person (within the meaning of Regulation S under the Securities Act) located outside of the United States and (v) you are, or are a discretionary investment adviser representing, a professional non-retail investor.


Access to this website has been limited so that it shall not constitute directed selling efforts (as defined in Regulation S under the Securities Act) in the United States and so that it shall not be deemed to constitute Robeco holding itself out generally to the public in the U.S. as an investment adviser. Nothing contained herein constitutes an offer to sell securities or solicitation of an offer to purchase any securities in any jurisdiction. We reserve the right to deny access to any visitor, including, but not limited to, those visitors with IP addresses residing in the United States. This website has been carefully prepared by Robeco. The information contained in this publication is based upon sources of information believed to be reliable. Robeco is not answerable for the accuracy or completeness of the facts, opinions, expectations and results referred to therein. Whilst every care has been taken in the preparation of this website, we do not accept any responsibility for damage of any kind resulting from incorrect or incomplete information. This website is subject to change without notice. The value of the investments may fluctuate. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. If the currency in which the past performance is displayed differs from the currency of the country in which you reside, then you should be aware that due to exchange rate fluctuations the performance shown may increase or decrease if converted into your local currency. For investment professional use only. Not for use by the general public.