22-09-2023 · Insight

Prepare for the pivot with short duration credits

The inversion of the yield curve makes short-dated credits appropriate to gain the benefit of higher yields, while enjoying lower duration risk and transaction costs.

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    Authors

  • Evert Giesen - Portfolio Manager

    Evert Giesen

    Portfolio Manager

  • Reinout Schapers - Portfolio Manager

    Reinout Schapers

    Portfolio Manager

  • Erik Keller - Client Portfolio Manager Global Credits & Sustainability

    Erik Keller

    Client Portfolio Manager Global Credits & Sustainability

The global economic outlook remains uncertain with US and European economies having to digest higher rates and tighter lending conditions and Chinese economic growth falling significantly. As a result, we think it's very likely that bonds will soon re-assume their role as a hedge against equity market volatility. Whether you believe in a soft landing or a hard landing, the global economy is set to slow and central banks will ultimately respond by ending their respective rate hiking cycles.

In this paper we explain why, with the approach of the peak in policy rates and with global yield curves remaining very inverted, investors should take the opportunity to position themselves in short duration credits to capitalize on the higher rate environment.

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Important information

This information is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any securities or products, nor as investment advice or recommendation. The contents of this document have not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (“MAS”). Robeco Singapore Private Limited holds a capital markets services license for fund management issued by the MAS and is subject to certain clientele restrictions under such license. An investment will involve a high degree of risk, and you should consider carefully whether an investment is suitable for you.