22-09-2023 · Insight

Prepare for the pivot with short duration credits

The inversion of the yield curve makes short-dated credits appropriate to gain the benefit of higher yields, while enjoying lower duration risk and transaction costs.

Download the publication


    Authors

  • Evert Giesen - Portfolio Manager

    Evert Giesen

    Portfolio Manager

  • Reinout Schapers - Portfolio Manager

    Reinout Schapers

    Portfolio Manager

  • Erik Keller - Client Portfolio Manager

    Erik Keller

    Client Portfolio Manager

The global economic outlook remains uncertain with US and European economies having to digest higher rates and tighter lending conditions and Chinese economic growth falling significantly. As a result, we think it's very likely that bonds will soon re-assume their role as a hedge against equity market volatility. Whether you believe in a soft landing or a hard landing, the global economy is set to slow and central banks will ultimately respond by ending their respective rate hiking cycles.

In this paper we explain why, with the approach of the peak in policy rates and with global yield curves remaining very inverted, investors should take the opportunity to position themselves in short duration credits to capitalize on the higher rate environment.


the-big-book-of-thematic-and-trend-investing.png

Download the publication: 'Prepare for the pivot with short duration credits'

Important information

The contents of this document have not been reviewed by the Securities and Futures Commission ("SFC") in Hong Kong. If you are in any doubt about any of the contents of this document, you should obtain independent professional advice. This document has been distributed by Robeco Hong Kong Limited (‘Robeco’). Robeco is regulated by the SFC in Hong Kong. This document has been prepared on a confidential basis solely for the recipient and is for information purposes only. Any reproduction or distribution of this documentation, in whole or in part, or the disclosure of its contents, without the prior written consent of Robeco, is prohibited. By accepting this documentation, the recipient agrees to the foregoing This document is intended to provide the reader with information on Robeco’s specific capabilities, but does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell certain securities or investment products. Investment decisions should only be based on the relevant prospectus and on thorough financial, fiscal and legal advice. Please refer to the relevant offering documents for details including the risk factors before making any investment decisions. The contents of this document are based upon sources of information believed to be reliable. This document is not intended for distribution to or use by any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. Investment Involves risks. Historical returns are provided for illustrative purposes only and do not necessarily reflect Robeco’s expectations for the future. The value of your investments may fluctuate. Past performance is no indication of current or future performance.